By Molly Goddard
3:23am PDT, Apr 19, 2025
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One data expert claims to know who will lead the Democratic ticket in 2028.
In his 2028 Democratic primary draft discussion on his
Silver Bulletin Substack, statistician
Nate Silver made a bold prediction of who will be helping the liberal party try to get out of Republican rule in the next presidential
election.
Keep reading to hear who the specialist thinks will be the left-wing nominee…
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Nate Silver predicts Representative
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez from New York will be the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination.
While discussing his pick in the Substack with "GD Politics" podcast host
Galen Druke, the data expert's guest supported Silver's choice with a recent Yale University poll showing the congresswoman with one of the highest net favorability ratings among the left.
"I think there's a lot of points in her favor at this very moment," Druke said. "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has broad appeal across the Democratic Party. I think equally important is the fact that she has very fervent support. I think a lot of people are going to run in 2028 and it's going to be a contest for attention and getting those sort of people who might be in your boat to turn out and stay with you through thick and thin."
"I agree with everything," Silver added, adding he didn't know if Ocasio-Cortez was "sure to run."
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Galen Druke also pointed to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's nationwide "Fighting Oligarchy Tour" with Senator
Bernie Sanders as an indicator that she may be thinking about a possible presidential campaign.
"New York Democrats are actually a pretty moderate bloc," Nate Silver added of her electability and called the liberal a "canny politician" and very "charismatic."
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Nate Silver also named Pennsylvania Governor
Josh Shapiro as someone who could be in the running for the
nomination along with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
"In the past three nomination races, you kind of have this compromise candidate where you have the moderates and you have the progressives and you get kind of somewhere in the middle," Silver said. "If you're not going to pick an AOC … then maybe go to someone who's fully moderate, 'electable.'"
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Despite losing the 2024 election to
Donald Trump, both Nate Silver and Galen Druke didn't completely rule out former Vice President
Kamala Harris running for the White House once again.
"
Kamala Harris has universal name recognition," Druke said. "I think that she could go some way to clear the field if she decided early to get in. I think we don't yet know how big of an electoral flop she is."
